Tim Michael

T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets are so strong at home and we catch line value with Denver at a small price on their home floor. The value is here because Clippers are a bit over-valued based on having finished the season strong. While Los Angeles deserves credit for the strong run the last 6 weeks or so, this is still a Clippers franchise that is 3-10 SU in last 13 post-season games (including play-in) and they are taking on a Nuggets team that was the champion 2 years ago and looking ready to get right back there again! By the way, Denver has gone 93-30 the last 3 regular season in home games! The Clippers, on the other hand, are about .500 on the road last 4 seasons! Take advantage of this game 1 line value as the line has come down to and this has set up a value spot for simply betting on a home SU win here.

T.M. Prediction: 116-108 Denver

T.M. Selection: Winnipeg Jets

The Jets are so strong as Hellebuyck is an absolute beast in between the pipes. His home performance in the crease is particularly other-worldly and that is why I am willing to lay the price here with the Jets. Winnipeg at home is going to be tough to beat as he was 27-3-3 with a .938 save percentage and a 1.63 GAA this season on home ice! The Blues finished the season strong but still won only 20 of 41 road games this season while the Jets were 27-3-3 at home in games with Hellebuyck getting the decision. He leads them to another victory here!

T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Winnipeg

T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals

The Rockies are 3-15 this season. Even though they are back home now they are not as strong of a lineup as they used to be. So being at home and looking to outslug teams is just not the Rockies MO these days either. Colorado is simply a bad team and Dollander has struggled with the home run ball. He had that issue in spring training and now in the regular season he already has allowed multiple homers in each start. Gore is a solid left-handed starter for the Rockies are 0-4 against lefties and overall 0-6 last 6 games and that run is headed for 0-7 for the Rockies the way I see it. The Nationals have not been great this season but they are better than Colorado plus they are coming off a shutout loss plus they have a pitching edge as Gore is off to a good start this season with a 3.52 ERA in 4 starts.

T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Washington