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Below you’ll find the updated win totals for every team in Major League Baseball. These are the projected number of victories for each team.
More specifically, they are the number of triumphs each team is expected to have by the sportsbooks. Of course, they are also influenced by public perception.
In the tables below we’ve broken out each team in their respective divisions. This allows us to show what the projected final regular season standings would look like if every team hit their total exactly.
This differs a bit from the odds to win the World Series. The team with the most expected wins each year isn’t necessarily projected to go on and win the championship.
MLB Over Under Wins 2020 (Vegas)
AL EAST
New York Yankees102½
Tampa Bay Rays90½
Boston Red Sox84½
Toronto Blue Jays75½
Baltimore Orioles56½
AL CENTRAL
Minnesota Twins92½
Cleveland Indians85½
Chicago White Sox84½
Kansas City Royals64½
Detroit Tigers56½
AL WEST
Houston Astros94½
Oakland Athletics89½
Los Angeles Angels85½
Texas Rangers79½
Seattle Mariners67½
NL EAST
Atlanta Braves90½
Washington Nationals89½
New York Mets86½
Philadelphia Phillies85½
Miami Marlins64½
NL CENTRAL
St. Louis Cardinals87½
Chicago Cubs85½
Milwaukee Brewers83½
Cincinnati Reds83½
Pittsburgh Pirates69½
NL WEST
Los Angeles Dodgers101½
Arizona Diamondbacks83½
San Diego Padres82½
Colorado Rockies74½
San Francisco Giants68½
2020 MLB Projected Wins vs 2019 Actual Win Totals
We can get an idea of how much teams are expected to improve or regress this season. All you have to do is compare their total victories last season to their projected total for this year.
The column titled “+/- Expected” shows how many more or less wins each team is projected to have this season versus how many they had last year.
Team
2019 Actual
2020 Projected
+/- Expected
Arizona Diamondbacks
85
83.5
-1.5
Atlanta Braves
97
90.5
-6.5
Baltimore Orioles
54
56.5
2.5
Boston Red Sox
84
84.5
0.5
Chicago Cubs
84
85.5
1.5
Chicago White Sox
72
84.5
12.5
Cincinnati Reds
75
83.5
8.5
Cleveland Indians
93
85.5
-7.5
Colorado Rockies
71
74.5
3.5
Detroit Tigers
47
56.5
9.5
Houston Astros
107
94.5
-12.5
Kansas City Royals
59
64.5
5.5
Los Angeles Angels
72
85.5
13.5
Los Angeles Dodgers
106
101.5
-4.5
Miami Marlins
57
64.5
7.5
Milwaukee Brewers
89
83.5
-5.5
Minnesota Twins
101
92.5
-8.5
New York Mets
86
86.5
0.5
New York Yankees
103
102.5
-0.5
Oakland Athletics
97
89.5
-7.5
Philadelphia Phillies
81
85.5
4.5
Pittsburgh Pirates
69
69.5
0.5
San Diego Padres
70
82.5
12.5
San Francisco Giants
77
68.5
-8.5
Seattle Mariners
68
67.5
-0.5
St. Louis Cardinals
91
87.5
-3.5
Tampa Bay Rays
96
90.5
-5.5
Texas Rangers
78
79.5
1.5
Toronto Blue Jays
67
75.5
8.5
Washington Nationals
93
89.5
-3.5
Predicted Records History
Below you’ll find the projected totals and actual wins for every year dating back to 2004. Each table shows each team’s posted number before the season, their actual victories in that season, how many more or less wins they actually had versus their predicted total, and whether or not the team’s total went over or under the posted number that year.
Baseball Projections: Regular Season Averages & Over/Under Wins
Taking all of the data we have since 2004, we can then look at the averages for each team and try to see which teams out-perform or under-perform their predicted records each year. This could also give us some insights into which teams the public over/under values as win totals are based heavily on public perception.
We have also included how many times these teams have gone over or under their win projections, as well as how many times they landed right on their posted number.
From the data we have, the Seattle Mariners and Arizona Diamondbacks tend to have the most optimistic projected records on average, while the St. Louis Cardinals and Texas Rangers appear to be often under-valued before the season starts.
Team
Average Win Total
Average Wins
Average +/- Wins
Overs
Unders
Pushes
Arizona Diamondbacks
80.3
77.4
-2.8
7
9
0
Atlanta Braves
82.4
84.4
2.0
11
4
0
Baltimore Orioles
76.0
73.6
-2.4
6
10
0
Boston Red Sox
91.4
89.8
-1.6
7
9
0
Chicago Cubs
85.0
82.3
-2.8
5
11
0
Chicago White Sox
79.8
78.4
-1.4
7
9
0
Cincinnati Reds
78.4
76.8
-1.7
5
11
0
Cleveland Indians
83.4
84.3
0.8
9
7
0
Colorado Rockies
76.8
76.2
-0.6
6
10
0
Detroit Tigers
82.1
79.3
-2.8
9
6
1
Houston Astros
78.8
80.3
1.6
9
7
0
Kansas City Royals
74.8
71.4
-3.3
6
10
0
Los Angeles Angels
87.1
86.8
-0.3
10
6
0
Los Angeles Dodgers
88.0
89.5
1.5
9
7
0
Miami Marlins
75.4
74.6
-0.8
5
11
0
Milwaukee Brewers
78.8
81.3
2.4
9
7
0
Minnesota Twins
78.8
80.6
1.8
8
8
0
New York Mets
83.4
80.7
-2.7
6
9
1
New York Yankees
92.3
93.8
1.4
9
6
1
Oakland Athletics
80.5
83.6
3.0
9
7
0
Philadelphia Phillies
83.0
83.1
0.1
9
7
0
Pittsburgh Pirates
75.7
74.7
-1.0
7
9
0
San Diego Padres
76.9
76.4
-0.5
8
8
0
San Francisco Giants
82.9
80.9
-2.0
8
8
0
Seattle Mariners
79.3
75.1
-4.1
7
9
0
St Louis Cardinals
86.3
90.1
3.8
10
6
0
Tampa Bay Rays
79.2
81.5
2.3
9
7
0
Texas Rangers
81.1
83.3
2.2
11
5
0
Toronto Blue Jays
81.4
79.5
-1.9
9
7
0
Washington Nationals
80.8
80.6
-0.2
8
8
0
Like baseball futures? Then check our the individual player odds. You can see over unders for key players on RBI, HR, average, wins, strikeouts, ERA and more.
Most Wins in a Season: List of MLB Teams with Over 100 Wins
Below you’ll find a complete list of 100+ win franchises by season, along with their managers and how they finished their year.
Season
Team
Wins
Manager(s)
Finish
2019
Houston Astros
107
AJ Hinch
Lost 2019 World Series
2019
Los Angeles Dodgers
106
Dave Roberts
Lost 2019 NLDS
2019
New York Yankees
103
Aaron Boone
Lost 2019 ALCS
2019
Minnesota Twins
101
Rocco Baldelli
Lost 2019 ALDS
2018
Boston Red Sox
108
Alex Cora
Won 2018 World Series
2018
Houston Astros
103
AJ Hinch
Lost 2017 ALCS
2018
New York Yankees
100
Aaron Boone
Lost 2017 ALDS
2017
Houston Astros
101
AJ Hinch
Won 2017 World Series
2017
Los Angeles Dodgers
104
Dave Roberts
Lost 2017 World Series
2017
Cleveland Indians
102
Terry Francona
Lost 2017 ALDS
2016
Chicago Cubs
103
Joe Maddon
Won 2016 World Series
2015
St. Louis Cardinals
100
Mike Matheny
Lost 2015 NLDS
2011
Philadelphia Phillies
102
Charlie Manuel
Lost 2011 NLDS
2009
New York Yankees
103
Joe Girardi
Won 2009 World Series
2008
Los Angeles Angels
100
Mike Scoscia
Lost 2008 ALDS
2005
St. Louis Cardinals
100
Tony LaRussa
Lost 2005 NLCS
2004
St. Louis Cardinals
105
Tony LaRussa
Lost 2004 World Series
2004
New York Yankees
101
Joe Torre
Lost 2004 ALCS
2003
New York Yankees
101
Joe Torre
Lost 2003 World Series
2003
Atlanta Braves
101
Bobby Cox
Lost 2003 NLDS
2003
San Francisco Giants
100
Felipe Alou
Lost 2003 NLDS
2002
New York Yankees
103
Joe Torre
Lost 2002 ALDS
2002
Oakland Athletics
103
Art Howe
Lost 2002 ALDS
2002
Atlanta Braves
101
Bobby Cox
Lost 2002 NLDS
2001
Seattle Mariners
116
Lou Piniella
Lost 2001 ALCS
2001
Oakland Athletics
102
Art Howe
Lost 2001 ALDS
1999
Atlanta Braves
103
Bobby Cox
Lost 1999 World Series
1999
Arizona Diamondbacks
100
Buck Showalter
Lost 1999 NLDS
1998
New York Yankees
114
Joe Torre
Won 1998 World Series
1998
Atlanta Braves
106
Bobby Cox
Lost 1998 NLCS
1998
Houston Astros
102
Larry Dierker
Lost 1998 NLDS
1997
Atlanta Braves
101
Bobby Cox
Lost 1997 NLCS
1995
Cleveland Indians
100
Mike Hargrove
Lost 1995 World Series
1993
Atlanta Braves
104
Bobby Cox
Lost 1993 NLCS
1993
San Francisco Giants
103
Dusty Baker
Finished 2nd in NL West
1990
Oakland Athletics
103
Tony La Russa
Lost 1990 World Series
1988
Oakland Athletics
104
Tony La Russa
Lost 1988 World Series
1988
New York Mets
100
Davey Johnson
Lost 1988 NLCS
1986
New York Mets
108
Davey Johnson
Won 1986 World Series
1985
St. Louis Cardinals
101
Whitey Herzog
Lost 1985 World Series
1984
Detroit Tigers
104
Sparky Anderson
Won 1984 World Series
1980
New York Yankees
103
Dick Howser
Lost 1980 ALCS
1980
Baltimore Orioles
100
Earl Weaver
Finished 2nd in AL East
1979
Baltimore Orioles
102
Earl Weaver
Lost 1979 World Series
1978
New York Yankees
100
Billy Martin, Dick Howser, & Bob Lemon
Won 1978 World Series
1977
Kansas City Royals
102
Whitey Herzog
Lost 1977 ALCS
1977
Philadelphia Phillies
101
Danny Ozark
Lost 1977 NLCS
1977
New York Yankees
100
Billy Martin
Won 1977 World Series
1976
Cincinnati Reds
102
Sparky Anderson
Won 1976 World Series
1976
Philadelphia Phillies
101
Danny Ozark
Lost 1976 NLCS
1975
Cincinnati Reds
108
Sparky Anderson
Won 1975 World Series
1974
Los Angeles Dodgers
102
Walter Alston
Lost 1974 World Series
1971
Baltimore Orioles
101
Earl Weaver
Lost 1971 World Series
1971
Oakland Athletics
101
Dick Williams
Lost 1971 ALCS
1970
Baltimore Orioles
108
Earl Weaver
Won 1970 World Series
1970
Cincinnati Reds
102
Sparky Anderson
Lost 1970 World Series
1969
Baltimore Orioles
109
Earl Weaver
Lost 1969 World Series
1969
New York Mets
100
Gil Hodges
Won 1969 World Series
1968
Detroit Tigers
103
Mayo Smith
Won 1968 World Series
1967
St. Louis Cardinals
101
Red Schoendienst
Won 1967 World Series
1965
Minnesota Twins
102
Sam Mele
Lost 1965 World Series
1963
New York Yankees
104
Ralph Houk
Lost 1963 World Series
1962
San Francisco Giants
103
Al Dark
Lost 1962 World Series
1962
Los Angeles Dodgers
102
Walter Alston
Finished 2nd in NL
1961
New York Yankees
109
Ralph Houk
Won 1961 World Series
1961
Detroit Tigers
101
Bob Scheffing
Finished 2nd in AL
1954
Cleveland Indians
111
Al Lopez
Lost 1954 World Series
1954
New York Yankees
103
Casey Stengel
Finished 2nd in AL
1953
Brooklyn Dodgers
105
Chuck Dressen
Lost 1953 World Series
1946
Boston Red Sox
104
Joe Cronin
Lost 1946 World Series
1944
St. Louis Cardinals
105
Billy Southworth
Won 1944 World Series
1943
St. Louis Cardinals
105
Billy Southworth
Lost 1943 World Series
1942
St. Louis Cardinals
106
Billy Southworth
Won 1942 World Series
1942
Brooklyn Dodgers
104
Leo Durocher
Finished 2nd in NL
1942
New York Yankees
103
Joe McCarthy
Lost 1942 World Series
1941
New York Yankees
101
Joe McCarthy
Won 1941 World Series
1941
Brooklyn Dodgers
100
Leo Durocher
Lost 1941 World Series
1940
Cincinnati Reds
100
Bill McKechnie
Won 1940 World Series
1939
New York Yankees
106
Joe McCarthy
Won 1939 World Series
1937
New York Yankees
102
Joe McCarthy
Won 1937 World Series
1936
New York Yankees
102
Joe McCarthy
Won 1936 World Series
1935
Chicago Cubs
100
Charlie Grimm
Lost 1935 World Series
1934
Detroit Tigers
101
Mickey Cochrane
Lost 1934 World Series
1932
New York Yankees
107
Joe McCarthy
Won 1932 World Series
1931
Philadelphia Athletics
107
Connie Mack
Lost 1931 World Series
1931
St. Louis Cardinals
101
Gabby Street
Won 1931 World Series
1930
Philadelphia Athletics
102
Connie Mack
Won 1930 World Series
1929
Philadelphia Athletics
104
Connie Mack
Won 1929 World Series
1928
New York Yankees
101
Miller Huggins
Won 1928 World Series
1927
New York Yankees
110
Miller Huggins
Won 1927 World Series
1917
Chicago White Sox
100
Pants Rowland
Won 1917 World Series
1915
Boston Red Sox
101
Bill Carrigan
Won 1915 World Series
1915
Detroit Tigers
100
Hughie Jennings
Finished 2nd in AL
1913
New York Giants
101
John McGraw
Lost 1913 World Series
1912
Boston Red Sox
105
Jake Stahl
Won 1912 World Series
1912
New York Giants
103
John McGraw
Lost 1912 World Series
1911
Philadelphia Athletics
101
Connie Mack
Won 1911 World Series
1910
Chicago Cubs
104
Frank Chance
Lost 1910 World Series
1910
Philadelphia Athletics
102
Connie Mack
Won 1910 World Series
1909
Pittsburgh Pirates
110
Fred Clarke
Won 1909 World Series
1909
Chicago Cubs
104
Frank Chance
Finished 2nd in NL
1907
Chicago Cubs
107
Frank Chance
Won 1907 World Series
1906
Chicago Cubs
116
Frank Chance
Lost 1906 World Series
1905
New York Giants
105
John McGraw
Won 1905 World Series
1904
New York Giants
106
John McGraw
Won National League
1902
Pittsburgh Pirates
103
Fred Clarke
Won National League
1899
Brooklyn Superbas
101
Ned Hanlon
Won National League
1898
Boston Beaneaters
102
Frank Selee
Won National League
1892
Boston Beaneaters
102
Frank Selee
Won National League
Fewest Wins in a Season: Worst MLB Teams of All-Time
In the modern era of baseball, there is a short list of teams that might be considered some of the worst of all-time. The 1916 and 1919 Philadelphia Athletics are widely considered the worst teams ever managing just 36 wins in each of those seasons. Since 1935, however, no teams have won less than 40 wins, meaning the metric for a team being truly bad these days has shifted a bit. In more recent years, anything less than 50 wins is considered an awful season. Most recently, the 2019 Detroit Tigers won just 47 games. Historically this does not put them in the category of “worst ever”, however, only three teams have won less than 50 games in the 2000s.